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Thread
:
Shinkocchou Seihou OOO Breakage?
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01-02-2020, 06:16 PM
#
15
Zolda
Super Lawyer
Join Date: Nov 2019
Location: Tokyo, Japan
Posts: 387
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Kurona
Well, no; my point (that I'm no highbrow collector) was exactly that it's not like that for me. I treat it as delicately as I treat the other Figuarts in my collection and I've had zero issues.
I got your point that not only highbrow collectors treat SHFs delicately, but also casual collectors. Unless you give your SHF to kindergarten kids.
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Kurona
I
treat it
as
delicately
as I treat the other Figuarts in my collection and I've had
zero issues
.
Zero issues, yet. Before I pulled the trigger on this figure, I imagined myself as a buyer, and asked myself these questions:
A. Has the figure had zero issues because I treat it delicately? Or
B. Has the figure had zero issues because I'm lucky?
From what I have learned in life so far, answer B is much more probable. Why? Because we know that the new joint system has way more fragility compared to the old joint system, whether by itself or combined with other factors I mentioned in my previous post. I'm 1000% sure that in a parallel universe where Bandai use the old joint system on the SHF SS OOO, this thread
does not exist
.
This is what I meant by "the turkey problem". You can build a very fragile system AND it will stand for some time.
Until something unusual happens and collapses the fragile system, usually.
This means the track record of that fragile system is due to PURE LUCK, nothing else. Rather than shielding the fragile system from the environment and calculate the probability of system collapse, I'd rather simply find the fragile point(s) of the system and make it less fragile, that is, more robust, thus being able to withstand unpredictable changes in environment.
These are several articles to better understand Nassim Taleb's concept of fragility and "the turkey problem":
https://www.riskmanagementmonitor.co...ot-be-turkeys/
https://seekingalpha.com/article/369...isk-management
https://www.edge.org/conversation/na...-of-statistics
Last edited by Zolda; 01-02-2020 at
09:22 PM
.. Reason: Fixed several typos.
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